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01/27/2012 - Ottawa, ON (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Alex Ovechkin has owned the Breakaway Challenge since the event's inception a few years ago, but with the Washington Capitals star pulling out of the league's All-Star Game, some new faces will get a chance at the title.
There are still plenty of other former winners set to participate in the Skills Competition on Saturday at Ottawa's Scotiabank Place, including All- Star team captain Zdeno Chara, snipers Daniel Sedin and Evgeni Malkin and speedster Marian Gaborik.
This will be the second skills event under the league's current All-Star format of selecting team captains and having the rosters chosen by a fantasy draft, which took place this past Thursday. Boston's Chara is the head of one team, opposed by hometown favorite Daniel Alfredsson of the Ottawa Senators.
Last year, a team captained by Carolina's Eric Staal defeated a group of players led by Detroit's Nicklas Lidstrom in the Skills Competition on the Hurricanes' home ice. Neither Staal nor Lidstrom are back for this year's exhibition.
The Breakaway Challenge is one of the six events on tap for Saturday's battle and has been won by Ovechkin all three times since it debuted at the 2008 event. The phase involves one player mixing skill and creativity on a breakaway attempt on a goaltender. The event differs from a penalty shot in that a skater can start from anywhere in the offensive zone.
The three shooters will be made up of two All-Stars and one rookie, while each team will also select one netminder. The winner of the challenge will be selected by fan voting via text messaging and earn his team one point.
Ovechkin would have likely been the favorite to repeat in the event, but he pulled out of the All-Star festivities after getting suspended for three games for leaving his feet to deliver a high, hard check versus Pittsburgh on Jan. 22. Ovechkin was still eligible to participate in the events, but opted out.
One event that could see a repeat champion is the Hardest Shot competition. Chara has won the event in each of the past four editions, unleashing a record 105.9 miles per hour blast in last year's get together. That broke his own record of 105.4 mph set the previous season. Nashville's Shea Weber, a member of Team Alfredsson, gave Chara a run for his money last year when he uncorked a 104.8 mph blast in the preliminary round.
Four players -- one rookie and three All-Stars -- will take their turns for each team in this event, with a point being awarded to the winner of each of the four preliminary rounds and another to the victor in the finale.
The Scotiabank Place's ice will be put to the test in the Fastest Skater event, which was won last year by Michael Grabner of the New York Islanders with a time of 14.238 seconds. Grabner is not in the competition this year, though 2003 winner Gaborik, who had a time of 13.713 seconds, is a member of Chara's team.
Four All-Stars and one rookie will take turns doing one lap around the ice. There will be five preliminary races under a new format of one skater from each team racing side-by-side towards the same end zone before turning outward, skating to the opposite end, turning back and skating past center ice to the finish line. The players from each team posting the fastest time will meet in a sixth and final race, with the winner of each of the individual six rounds getting a point for his squad.
The Accuracy Shooting bout is a simple one in which four players from each team -- three All-Stars and one rookie -- will take turns standing 25 feet in front of the net while taking passes and aiming at four foam targets in the corners of the goal. The player with the fastest time from each team will then go head-to-head in a fifth round for the title.
Each round awards one point to the winner and a few former champions could get the call. Sedin, last year's victor, is on Team Alfredsson, while Chara has three former champs on his roster in Malkin (2008), Marian Hossa (2007 co- winner) and Jarome Iginla (2002 co-winner). Sedin won last year's event by hitting all four targets in 8.9 seconds.
Back for its second year is the Skills Challenge Relay, won last year by Team Lidstrom with a time of 2:09. The event puts 14 All-Stars and two rookies from each team together.
The competition meshes together a host of skills into five successive events. A one-timer event starts it off with three shooters and one passer needing to score three goals over an eight-inch barrier. Once completed, a different player must complete a pass into six nets placed around the rink to keep things going.
Skill with the skate and stick follow. First, a player must make his way through a series of cones will keeping control of the puck before another skater stick handles the disc through a series of obstacles.
The heat then comes to a close with an accuracy portion in which a shooter takes aim at four targets. Two groups from each team go through the entire relay, with the fastest squad in each heat getting a point and the fastest combined time getting a bonus point.
Things then come to a head for Team Alfredsson and Chara in the Elimination Shootout. This competition sees 15 skaters consisting of one rookie, 11 All- Stars and three goaltenders, battle in a game of survival. Shooters take their aim at the goaltenders and need to score to move on to the next round. Netminders rotate after every third shooter and the event goes until one player scores and the others do not in a single round.
This event is sort of like the bonus round of a game show; each goal scored by a player counts for one point for his team.
Team Chara member Dion Phaneuf won the inaugural event in 2008, followed by Shane Doan in 2009. Corey Perry, also a member of Chara's team this year, was the last-man standing a season ago.
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Numerous College Basketball teams take final big step to March Madness betting
So, what turned on the lock spigot? Well, after what felt like weeks of teams treading water and slipping back into the bubble muck, a bunch of them finally decided to say "to heck with parity" and won games that should put them into the Big Dance.
Disagree with some of these? Then here's the challenge. Take all of the "should be ins" and make a legit case that each should be ahead of the team that's a lock. Then find 10 more teams that also should be placed in the bracket ahead of that lock team. Not so easy, is it?
If you want more evidence that these locks should be good to go, check out what our research department dug up. Since the NCAA Tournament went to 64 teams in 1985, only six teams from a "big six" conference have had a record of 10-6 or better in conference play and not been selected: Colorado (2004) and Nebraska (1999) from the Big 12, Boston College and Seton Hall (both 2003) from the Big East, Indiana (2005) from the Big Ten and UCLA, which somehow went 12-6 in the Pac-10 in 1988 and still missed out. (Note: Five teams went 11-7 and didn't get in, the latest being last season's Stanford team, which had a brutal nonconference run.)
Yes, 10 conference wins doesn't always mean what it used to because of unbalanced schedules, but this season, it should be plenty good in all but the extreme cases (see: Iowa).
In a way, this is a welcome development, because this is a bubble watch, not a lock watch. We can finally be done with teams like Maryland and Virginia Tech and start really bearing down on at-large battles such as Syracuse-West Virginia and Appalachian State-Georgia Tech.
Interestingly, all the shifting of teams into lock status appears to be more administrative than impactful. The number of remaining available at-larges didn't change one iota. The only difference is that teams on the bubble now have a clearer idea of which team(s) they are competing with for those precious bids.
| The Bubble Breakdown | |||
| CONFERENCE | LOCKS | SHOULD BE INS | AT-LARGES TAKEN (assuming no auto bid outlier) |
| ACC Betting Odds | 6 | 0 | 5 |
| Big East Betting Odds | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| Big Ten Betting Odds | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Big 12 Betting Odds | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Pac-10 Betting Odds | 5 | 1 | 5 |
| SEC Betting Odds | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| MVC Betting Odds | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| MWC Betting Odds | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| TOTAL | 28 | 5 | 25 |
As always, I've tried to be as inclusive as possible while only including teams that would have a reasonable chance of at least being discussed if this were Selection Sunday. If your team's not on here, there's probably a good reason (or three) -- start with the RPI and SOS numbers and work your way down.
(Please remember, per selection committee criteria, that records displayed are Division I only. Next update: Feb. 28)
If you have a legitimate grievance, or just like talking bubble, send an e-mail. Polite ones with fact-based arguments have a much better chance of receiving a response. I apologize in advance if I can't get back to all of you.
Atlantic Coast Conference
Work left to do: Clemson, Florida State, Georgia Tech
The ACC moves to six locks as BC, Va Tech and Virginia all got their 10th ACC wins, which should be more than enough this season, and Maryland rallied past North Carolina to get the final piece the Terps needed. After that? It could end there unless FSU, Ga Tech or Clemson picks things up in a hurry.
Work left to do:
Clemson [19-9 (5-9), RPI: 41, SOS: 42] The Tigers are closer to locking up the collapse of the year award (in a good battle with OK State) than they are to grabbing an at-large. Clemson's been very competitive, but there's no really positive way you can spin nine losses in 11 games. They now cannot get to .500 in ACC play and still must head to Virginia Tech in the season finale (after hosting Miami). Unless the Tigers win both and/or do some serious work in the ACC tourney, they very well could be left out. There are no great nonconference wins, but ODU, App State, Miss. State, South Carolina and Georgia are all respectable W's.
Florida State [18-11 (6-9), RPI: 48, SOS: 14] The Noles got thrashed at Maryland to run their losing streak to five, but then pounded NC State at home to set the table for what likely is an elimination game at Miami. You can at least make a case for the Seminoles at 7-9 in ACC play (and some work in the ACC tourney), but 6-10 is not going to cut it. Wins at Duke and over Florida will resonate, but the computer numbers remain questionable. Beyond Florida, FSU thrashed bubble buddy Providence, but there's not a ton beyond those two games that will help. They didn't show well in big-time opportunities against Pitt and Wisconsin (before the Florida win).
Georgia Tech [18-10 (6-8), RPI: 51, SOS: 46] The Jackets beat Wake on Wednesday but couldn't get it done at UVa on Saturday, which could be a crucial loss with UNC and BC (both at home) remaining and 8-8 almost a certain need for at-large consideration. A nonconference win over Memphis helps, but the RPI and SOS are not at-large quality right now; if you combine those with a sub-.500 ACC mark, that could spell NIT for GT.
For more College Basketball betting lines go to MySportsbook.com
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